Search
-
Recent Posts
- Ideology is reliably replicable 07/11/2025
- My books on the cheap! 05/11/2025
- There are only two truths 03/11/2025
- Researching the rise of Pentecostalism in the UK 31/10/2025
- A time for everything 26/10/2025
Recent Comments
- Jon Garvey on Surreality and Messianism
- Levi on Surreality and Messianism
- Jon Garvey on A time for everything
- Jon Garvey on Hitting the Books
- Peter Hickman on Hitting the Books
Post Archive
Daily Archives: 12/07/2021
Why test and trace cannot POSSIBLY work
OK, I refer you to another excellent post by John Dee entitled False Positive Refresher. In it he talks about the PCR test’s sensitivity (which is the nominal percentage of true cases it spots). A sensitivity of 80% means that if you test 100 sick people, it will miss 20 of them. More importantly, in this context, is the specificity (which is the nominal percentage of genuine negatives it spots). So a specificity of 99% means that if you do the test in 100 well people, it labels one as sick, ie as a false positive.
Posted in Medicine, Politics and sociology, Science
Leave a comment