OK, I just have to increase the circulation of this graphic from the excellent statistician John Dee. It shows the risk of actually dying from COVID today in Britain, compared with the risk of dying from the vaccine. Brief explanation below the fold, but it’s very basic number crunching of official data and references are given.
The blocks represent the infection fatality rate for each age group, based on accepted research, combined with the current official estimate of COVID prevalence of 0.1% to give an actual risk for each age group at this point in time (across the nation as a whole). This is probably quite robust information.
The red line is based on the European adverse reaction reporting system, equivalent to our “yellow card” and the US VAERS, and the reported deaths soon after vaccination under that system, converted to a percentage of total vaccinations. Confounding factors are that these are suspected associations rather than confirmed causes, which is always the case with such reporting systems, but on the other hand that it is accepted that these doctor or public reported systems under-report adverse effects by 10 or 100-fold – which is also always the case. One should also note that the information is for the European Union rather than UK, but that is unlikely to affect the rates much.
You’ll see that for all age groups the risk from COVID is astonishingly low – 1:12,000 for the over 80s, and in my age-group around 1 in 100,000, or a little higher as I’m on the upper age limit.
On the other hand, the only age group in which benefit from vaccination (just) outweighs mortality-risk from vaccination is that oldest and most vulnerable group – and if deaths are under-reported even by a tiny factor, even they stand to lose.
Needless to say, in children the risk from COVID is effectively zero, and if the deaths from vaccination are the same across age-groups (the studies have not been done, despite rolling out vaccination to younger and younger groups daily) then their relative risk of dying from the vaccine is a very large number indeed. The risk of serious, non-fatal, side effects is far greater than that, of course, as deaths are probably relatively rare.
However, note that if vaccine deaths have been seriously under-reported, as familiarity with these reporting systems would indicate, then that gloomy calculus would apply to all age groups.
Meanwhile, apparently the polls show that 75% of people favour the vaccination of small children. It’s easy to believe those who say that most people are both scientifically illiterate and lazy, even when it comes to their own kids. Charitably, they just haven’t been given this information.